Open Source2026-07-24Microsoft Research Blog

Microsoft's Aurora 1.5 Enhances Weather AI

Microsoft Research has unveiled Aurora 1.5, a significant upgrade to its open foundation model designed for weather and Earth-system applications. This new version expands the model's capabilities by incorporating 22 additional atmospheric and environmental variables, enabling more comprehensive and accurate predictions. One of the standout features is the introduction of hourly temporal resolution, which allows for finer-grained forecasting compared to previous models that operated on coarser time scales. Additionally, Aurora 1.5 now supports probabilistic ensemble forecasting, a technique that generates multiple possible outcomes to better capture uncertainty in weather predictions. This makes the model more practical for real-world use cases, such as disaster preparedness, agriculture planning, and climate monitoring. By releasing the model as open source, Microsoft aims to accelerate research and innovation in the field of AI-driven meteorology. The upgrade represents a step forward in democratizing access to advanced weather modeling tools, potentially benefiting industries ranging from logistics to renewable energy. With climate variability increasing, tools like Aurora 1.5 could become essential for decision-makers seeking reliable, high-resolution forecasts.

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